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Risk Assessment in Project Management

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Risks are the last thing every project wants to deal with. Projects are created to take advantage of available resources and possibilities, but they also bring with them uncertainty, problems, and risk. As a result, risk management becomes a critical component of project success. The project risk management strategy explains the risk management process, and the risk assessment meeting enables the project team to identify, categorise, prioritise, and mitigate or avoid hazards before they occur. A phase in the risk management process is risk assessment.
 

The project risk management strategy explains the risk management process, and the risk assessment meeting enables the project team to identify, categorise, prioritise, and mitigate or avoid hazards before they occur. A phase in the risk management process is risk assessment. The determination of the quantitative or qualitative value of risk in relation to a specific circumstance and a recognised danger is known as risk assessment. Danger assessment is the process of determining the likelihood of a risk becoming a reality. However, risk assessment is not only the job of the project manager in any project.
 

Typical Risk Assessment Phases


Many projects identify and analyse hazards in a haphazard, freewheeling approach. This is frequently deadly to the project's success, since unanticipated hazards develop that have not been analysed or planned for, and must be dealt with on an emergency basis rather than being anticipated and defended against in a planned, measured manner. It is critical to identify, categorise, evaluate, and document potential hazards. Identifying risks and then grouping them into categories, or creating a list of categories and then identifying potential dangers inside each category, is far more effective than looking at each risk individually and randomly.The following are the stages of risk assessment that are typically followed.

 

Identifying the Threat

The project manager will have compiled a list of risks from prior project experiences before diving into risk assessment. These will be examined at the start of the project to identify certain prevalent dangers. Members will be able to predict potential dangers as a result of this information. While there are a variety of approaches for identifying risks, the Crawford Slip method is one of the most often used and effective. Each risk that is recognised and discussed should be articulated in a complete sentence that includes the risk's cause, severity, and impact on the project.

 

Duplicates should be categorised and grouped together

Risk categorization is a method of systematically identifying risks and laying the groundwork for awareness, comprehension, and action. Each project will have its own structure and distinct characteristics. Categorization makes it simple to spot duplicate hazards and serves as a starting point for identifying new ones. The most popular, simple, and effective technique is to post the sticky notes on a huge board with categories that the manager has created. The participants then write their risks in the appropriate category on the board. When they find duplicate dangers, they pile them on top of each other. 

The project manager then leads a discussion with the participants on the risks highlighted in each area. All detected and categorised risks should be documented for all stakeholders' approval.

 

Risks should be classified (Assign Probability and Impact to Each Risk)

• What is the danger – how will I recognise it if it becomes a reality? 

• What is the risk – how will I recognise it if it becomes a reality?

• How likely is it that it will happen — high, medium, or low?

• Does it provide a high, medium, or low level of risk to the project?

• What indications or triggers should we be on the lookout for? 

A risk that is highly likely to occur and has a large impact on the project, on the other hand, will certainly require more attention than a risk that is low in both probability and impact.

 

Determine Your Risk Reaction

The participants will assess the triggers or causes for the hazards with a high risk score, as well as potential responses. 

• Adding the risk to the project plan and scheduling it as a contingency.

• Adding cash to the project to offset any potential cost increases;

• Adding resources to the project to offset any potential deficit in allotted resources; and 

• Developing a plan to mitigate the risk.

 

In a Nutshell: Risk Assessment

The goal of risk analysis is to gain a better knowledge of whether project tasks, outputs, or events will have an impact on the project's success. This requires project managers to use their experience, understanding of the project, and critical thinking to choose the strategies they should pursue, as well as the tactics and activities that will be based on those strategies.
 

A project manager can utilise either qualitative or quantitative analysis to perform risk analysis, based on the identified risk source and its level of detail. Qualitative analysis qualifies probable implications and the likelihood of them occurring using a descriptive collection of qualities. In practise, this approach will require more explanation to support a risk's position in this form of evaluation, despite the fact that asserting hazards is a simple activity.
 

Quantitative analysis, on the other hand, provides a measured level of understanding of risk by determining its effect and likelihood using a numerical set of attributes. Unlike qualitative analysis, this may necessitate a significant amount of time and resources, which is one of the project constraints throughout all phases.
 

As a result, the amount of detail is determined by the breadth of data collected and the depth of the calculations used to present either a single figure or a group of patterns that will explain the impact and probability of the hazards under consideration. Given its descriptive nature of detailing dangers, qualitative analysis often leads to a primary level of quantitative analysis, as the latter presents statistical evidence to the former.
 

The risk evaluation step entails identifying and analysing project hazards, as well as assisting the project team in making decisions about how to address the risks that have been identified. The picture, often known as a Risk Map, depicts the link between impact and probability (or heat map). The output of risk analysis, Risk Map, evaluates values drawn across this chart depending on their risk levels. With the project's risk criteria depicted on the map, the project manager and his or her team may see which risks require more attention.
 

Having an effective risk management framework implementation and risk treatment plans may not always indicate that risk treatment is complete, even if mitigation techniques are established based on identified risks. Instead, it successfully reduces the influence and allows for unambiguous decision-making.
 

The need to respond to risks is crucial, and it entails the following:

  • Recognizing defensive and proactive measures to minimise or mitigate risks,
  • Performing further analysis to reduce insecurity by monitoring and measuring critical metrics
     

Risk assessment in project management provides several advantages, including reduced project risk exposure, accurate and unambiguous decision-making on crucial topics throughout each project phase, and a clearer understanding of hazards associated with specific projects.

 

Risk assessment and project management work well together to ensure project success:

The risk assessment process, which is done on a regular basis during the project timeline, updates and improves the project's risk profile, as indicated in its project risk criteria, risk register, and risk treatment plans.
 

Risk mangement and assessment, like other projects and management systems on the company's continuous improvement activities, should be done on a regular basis because new risks may emerge. Any project, regardless of size or scope, can benefit from a good risk management framework that clarifies the overall approach to risk management.
 

It will specify how much risk is acceptable and who should be involved in conducting a qualitative assessment of known risks. More importantly, the framework assures that, regardless of the number of uncertainties a project may face, there is always a backup plan in place to meet obstacles and opportunities and ensure project success.
 

A Closer Look at Identifying Project Risks

Identifying project risks is a difficult task for project managers and their teams, especially early in the planning phase. The project charter, which serves as a formal statement of intent to begin a project, is a good place to start when it comes to identifying risk sources and variables, as the identification stage usually entails three steps:

 

  • The external context (for example, the impact of the project on its external clients and market)
  • The internal situation (e.g. the key deliverables and controls at strategic, tactical and operational levels),
  • The project stakeholders' requirements and expectations.

 

SWOT analysis, Delphi Techniques, and Stakeholder analysis, to name a few, are important methodologies, but they must be relevant and time-efficient to the project's execution, resource allocation, and decision-making.

One of the primary challenges that Project Managers face nowadays is the lack of a general risk register to refer to when identifying project risk. All project risks should be recorded in the risk register, which is a complete list of all risks detected, their root causes and implications, and the measures taken to address them, for the purposes of managing the execution of project risk management.

 

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